The Forex Monte Carlo Probability Engine is a browser‑based risk analysis tool that simulates hundreds or thousands of possible equity‑curve outcomes based on your trading strategy’s statistics—win rate, reward‑to‑risk ratio, risk per trade, and number of trades. Instead of guessing where your account might end up, it uses randomized trade sequences to model the full range of realistic possibilities, revealing the probability of profit, the likelihood of ruin, expected drawdowns, and the median projected balance. By visualizing multiple simulated equity paths, it helps traders understand variance, manage expectations, and make more disciplined decisions grounded in statistical reality rather than emotion or intuition.

Forex Monte Carlo Probability Engine

Simulate equity curves based on your strategy stats to see probability of outcomes, drawdowns, and risk of ruin.

Initial balance (account currency)

Risk per trade (% of balance)

Win rate (% of trades)

Reward:risk ratio (R:R)

Number of trades per run

Number of Monte Carlo simulations

Ruin threshold (% of initial balance)

Median final balance

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Probability of profit (> initial)

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Probability of ruin (below threshold)

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Median max drawdown

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This tool is for educational risk analysis only and does not constitute financial advice. Monte Carlo results are sensitive to your inputs—garbage in, garbage out.